AHACApex Horizon Acquisition Corp.Definitive AgreementMedium
Last
$10.42
Change
▲ 0.38%
NAV Prem/Disc
1.07%
Trust
$287.5M
Deadline
2026-10-18 (86d)
Sponsor: Apex Horizon Capital · Sector: Energy Technology · IPO: 2024-04-18
Redemption Score
Model demo · not investment advice50%
Estimated % of public shares tendered at vote
- NAV vs trust valueNeutralw0
- Sector sentimentEnergy Technologyw14
- Sponsor track recordMixed (demo)w18
- Time to deadline86dw12
Completion Probability
Model demo · not investment advice64%
Model probability deal closes as announced
- PIPE coverage vs min. cash1.4x (demo)w22
- SEC review postureAmendment #2 clearedw16
- Sponsor concessionsFounder-share forfeiture addedw18
- Regulatory / HSRPendingw10
Deal Health Scorecard
Composite model · demo67
Adequate
- Sponsor78StrongPrior completion 60%, no material litigation
- Financing64AdequatePIPE $140M vs min. cash $220M — 1.4x coverage
- Fundamentals72AdequateFY27 revenue ramp requires interconnect timing
- Terms66Adequate8% cash consideration lowers post-close liquidity
- Regulatory80StrongHSR no early termination; expected in ordinary course
- Forecast credibility58AdequateComparable Northwind revised FY27 -8%
- Dilution54WeakMax dilution 37.9% incl. warrants + earnout
Score History & Events
Completion probability Redemption score Event markers (8)
Why did the score change?
- SponsorIndependent director conflict disclosed· 2025-12-26Redemption +2
- FilingDEFM14A: cash mix 20→8%· 2025-12-05Redemption +4 / Completion -3
- MarketSector selloff — energy peers -6%· 2025-11-21Redemption +3
- FilingS-4/A No. 2 cleared· 2025-11-07Completion +3
- SECSEC comment letter received· 2025-10-17Completion -2
- FilingS-4 filed with SEC· 2025-10-03Completion +3
Each event corresponds to a filing, market move, or model retrain. Deltas are fictional demonstration weights.
Lifecycle Progress
IPO
Searching
LOI
Definitive
Vote
Close
Trust Interest YTD$3.4M
Redemption est.42–58%
Min. Cash Condition$220M
Founder Promote20% (as-converted)
Sponsor ExtensionAvailable (+3m)
Geographic FocusNorth America
Deadline Countdown
86
Days to liquidation deadline
Sponsor may seek one extension of up to 3 months per charter.
Price History with Events
Event markers: LOI · Definitive Agreement · S-4 Filed
Recent Developments
- Jan 22, 2026FilingFiled DEFM14A. Merger consideration adjusted to 92% stock / 8% cash.
- Jan 14, 2026FilingAmendment No. 2 to S-4 responds to SEC comments on target revenue assumptions.
- Dec 19, 2025DealAnnounced business combination with Voltara Grid Systems at $1.25B EV.
- Dec 02, 2025DealSigned LOI with Voltara following six-week diligence.